The first week of MLB flew by! I can’t believe it’s already Friday — but that means it’s time for more plus-money MLB bets!
If you’re just starting to follow along, in this series we are betting mostly for value. You won’t see a lot of heavy favorites.
We won four of our seven bets for the opening weekend at SISB. With plus-money returns for all our wagers, those who tailed our picks and bet their bankroll evenly across all seven bets should have seen a 135% payout — a 35% profit margin.
Now, let’s see if we can keep it rolling here…
Let’s not overthink this: The reigning World Series champs are plus money.
Sure, the Astros have gotten off to a bit of a bumpy start with a 3-4 record, but they are still averaging 4.86 runs per game while the Twins (4-2) are averaging 4.00 per game.
Twins pitching has been sharp this season, leading the league with only 1.89 runs allowed per game. Sonny Gray allowed zero runs in his first start of the season, and he gets the start for the Twins’ home opener. Though Gray didn’t allow any runs in his start vs. Kansas City, he did allow three hits and four walks in just five innings pitched. The Astros could capitalize on any command issues as they are tied for the third-most walks in the league this year.
Jose Urquidy gets the start for Houston. He allowed three runs and seven hits in his last start vs. the Chicago White Sox. However, this current Twins lineup is hitting only .138 vs. Urquidy, so he certainly could keep the Astros in this game.
Yes, there are four automatic outs at the bottom of the Astros lineup right now, but with Kyle Tucker, Jeremy Pena, Jose Aubrey and Yordan Alvarez still swinging the bat well, I’ll take the plus money for Carlos Correa to have a revenge game.